UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Flyweight
VS
80%
Pantoja
20%
Seery
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:31
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
NS
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
16 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

Pantoja is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Pantoja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pantoja
Seery
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
64"
36+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Seery
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
15.5
60.2
Performance Avg
37.0
49
Quality of Victory
33
65
Momentum Score
58
Pantoja
Seery
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground2
Pantoja
Seery
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Seery
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/29 fights
Pantoja
Seery
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pantoja
Seery
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Seery
Striking3.0 / 0.9Volume5.0 / 6.2Grappling4.5 / 4.3Wrestling3.1 / 3.0Submission4.3 / 3.3Pressure6.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Seery
Pantoja
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Seery
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (57% of attacks) — Seery absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Seery targets the head (83% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Seery
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Seery · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W7.0L5.3L2014-032015-012015-102017-07
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Seery · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R2
Jon Delos ReyesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Neil Seery
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