UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Middleweight
VS
61%
Oleksiejczuk
39%
Barriault
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22 – 9
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw31 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 55
Marc-Andre
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
17 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Barriault has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oleksiejczuk's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barriault has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
31+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.6
35.6
55.3
Performance Avg
41.9
53
Quality of Victory
45
52
Momentum Score
13
Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
20
20
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
52Distance19
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/31 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
13
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oleksiejczuk
Barriault
Striking9.2 / 5.8Volume2.8 / 3.4Grappling0.5 / 2.1Wrestling0.3 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure7.4 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Oleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Barriault
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
32HEAD20BODY0LEGS52 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Barriault
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD20BODY0LEGS52 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (62% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (80% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oleksiejczuk
RND
Barriault
0/0R00/0

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Barriault · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.5L6.6L5.5W4.5W2.6L5.0W5.4L5.8W5.3W6.2L3.5L1.5L6.3W7.0L6.5L2019-052021-092023-032024-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Barriault · Last 5

Upcoming
Brad Tavares
UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

News & Media

Michal Oleksiejczuk · Marc-Andre Barriault
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