METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Ankalaev
52%
Guskov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:41
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsKO/TKOR5 · 2:41
def. Bogdan Guskov · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guskov
→
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ankalaev at 48% vs Guskov at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Guskov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guskov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevGuskov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ankalaev
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
71.1
60.6
Performance Avg
60.3
43
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
100
Ankalaev
Guskov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
9.0
5.4
Style: Volume
1.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Ankalaev
Guskov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Ankalaev
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Ankalaev
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Guskov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
AnkalaevGuskov
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGuskov
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Guskov · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Upcoming
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04