METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
90%
Pinto
10%
Franco
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mario PintowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe Franco · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pinto
→
Actual result
Pinto wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pinto is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 66 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pinto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Pinto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PintoFranco
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pinto
Franco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
76"
28
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinto
Franco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.0
7.8
67.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Pinto
Franco
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.6
78%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
6Clinch6
1Ground0
Pinto
Franco
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pinto
Franco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Pinto
Franco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pinto
Franco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pinto
Franco
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PintoFranco
Strike Zones
Pinto
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedFranco
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pinto targets the head (78% of attacks) — Franco absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Franco targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pinto absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pinto
RND
Franco
0/0R00/0
Pinto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pinto · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Felipe FrancoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Austen LaneRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
Franco · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Mario PintoRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03