UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
90%
Pinto
10%
Franco
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mario
Mario Pinto
12 – 0
6'5"79" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 74
Felipe
Felipe Franco
10 – 2
Well-Rounded25 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pinto

Pinto is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 66 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pinto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.

Pinto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pinto
Franco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
76"
28
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinto
Franco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.0
7.8
67.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Pinto
Franco
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
78%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
6Clinch6
1Ground0
Pinto
Franco
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pinto
Franco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Pinto
Franco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pinto
Franco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pinto
Franco
Striking8.7 / 0.0Volume4.7 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pinto
Strike Zones
Franco
Pinto
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Franco
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pinto targets the head (78% of attacks) — Franco absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Franco targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pinto absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pinto
RND
Franco
0/0R00/0

Pinto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W6.1W4.5W2025-032025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Pinto · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Felipe FrancoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Austen LaneRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

Franco · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Mario PintoRating 7.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

News & Media

Mario Pinto · Felipe Franco
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