METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Featherweight
VS
46%
Burns
54%
Landwehr
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
★ Official Result
Herbert BurnswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:43
def. Nate Landwehr · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Landwehr
→
Actual result
Burns wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 46% vs Landwehr at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Burns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Landwehr has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burns's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Landwehr has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurnsLandwehr
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burns
Landwehr
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Landwehr
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
49.3
47.5
Performance Avg
42.7
57
Quality of Victory
41
39
Momentum Score
88
Burns
Landwehr
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
2.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Burns
Landwehr
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Landwehr
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Burns
Landwehr
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
88
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Burns
Landwehr
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burns
Landwehr
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
BurnsLandwehr
Strike Zones
Burns
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLandwehr
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the body (71% of attacks) — Landwehr absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Landwehr targets the head (75% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burns
RND
Landwehr
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Landwehr · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Daniel PinedaRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · Sub · R1
Evan DunhamRating 5Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Landwehr · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cub SwansonRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dooho ChoiRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06