UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Featherweight
VS
43%
Perez
57%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martinez
This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 43% vs Martinez at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Perez throws more volume but Martinez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Perez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perez
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Perez
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.4
46.0
56.3
Performance Avg
48.3
49
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
63
Perez
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
25
5
Body
9
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance35
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Perez
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Perez
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Perez
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
PerezMartinez
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (68% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Sub · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 5.2Submission
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L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Martinez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9Decision
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W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8KO/TKO
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