UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Las Vegas, USA
27 Jun 2020
Lightweight
VS
39%
Pena
61%
Worthy
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:53
LP
Luis Pena
"Violent Bob Ross"
9 – 3
6'3"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
KW
Khama Worthy
"The Death Star"
16 – 9
Pressure Fighter3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Worthy

Worthy holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Pena has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Worthy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Worthy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Worthy has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pena
Worthy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
32+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Pena
Worthy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
29.0
46.5
Performance Avg
47.5
36
Quality of Victory
53
68
Momentum Score
59
Pena
Worthy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
3
Body
5
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance15
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Pena
Worthy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pena
Worthy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
34
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Pena
Worthy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Pena
Worthy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pena
Worthy
Striking3.3 / 5.8Volume6.0 / 0.8Grappling3.0 / 4.0Wrestling2.1 / 2.8Submission2.0 / 5.0Pressure4.7 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Pena
Strike Zones
Worthy
Pena
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Worthy
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (69% of attacks) — Worthy absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Worthy targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pena
RND
Worthy
0/0R00/0

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.7L6.4W4.0L4.5W2018-072019-032019-102020-062021-04
WinLossTrend

Worthy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.5W2.3L1.7L2.2L2019-082020-062020-092021-032021-10
WinLossTrend

Pena · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alexander MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Khama WorthyRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · KO · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06

Worthy · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jai HerbertRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Sub · R3
Luis PenaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Luis Pena · Khama Worthy
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