METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Welterweight
VS
89%
Story
11%
Mulhern
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:05
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:05
def. Quinn Mulhern · UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
→
Actual result
Story wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Story is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Story has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoryMulhern
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Story
Mulhern
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Mulhern
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
2.1
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Story
Mulhern
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.6
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
7
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance9
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Story
Mulhern
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Story
Mulhern
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Story
Mulhern
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Story
Mulhern
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Mulhern
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StoryMulhern
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMulhern
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mulhern absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mulhern targets the head (89% of attacks) — Story absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Mulhern
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Mulhern · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Katsunori KikunoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Rick StoryKO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03