METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Welterweight
VS
89%
Story
11%
Mulhern
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:05
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:05
def. Quinn Mulhern · UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
→
Actual result
Story wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Story is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Story has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Story has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoryMulhern
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Story
Mulhern
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Mulhern
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
2.1
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Story
Mulhern
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
18%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
7
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance9
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Story
Mulhern
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Story
Mulhern
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Story
Mulhern
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Story
Mulhern
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Mulhern
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StoryMulhern
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMulhern
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mulhern absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mulhern targets the head (89% of attacks) — Story absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Mulhern
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mulhern · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Mulhern · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Katsunori KikunoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Rick StoryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03