METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Middleweight
VS
23%
Wright
77%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:28
JW
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Bruno SilvawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:28
def. Jordan Wright · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Wright's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WrightSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wright
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wright
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
61.6
38.4
Performance Avg
49.0
45
Quality of Victory
58
13
Momentum Score
91
Wright
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
8.1
0.6
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
10
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance8
9Clinch3
0Ground8
Wright
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Wright
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Wright
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
91
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Wright
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wright
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
WrightSilva
Strike Zones
Wright
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedSilva
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wright targets the body (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (95% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wright
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wright · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaDecision
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L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Jamie PickettKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenSubmission
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