METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Lightweight
VS
45%
Stephens
55%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mason JoneswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stephens at 45% vs Jones at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StephensJones
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stephens
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stephens
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
54.0
41.1
Performance Avg
46.2
40
Quality of Victory
33
76
Momentum Score
80
Stephens
Jones
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Stephens
Jones
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stephens
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Stephens
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
80
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stephens
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stephens
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
StephensJones
Strike Zones
Stephens
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJones
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stephens targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (60% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stephens
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
Jones · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Bolaji OkiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10