UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Las Vegas, USA
24 Aug 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
51%
Cavalcanti
49%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cavalcanti
This is a genuine toss-up — Cavalcanti at 51% vs Nunes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Cavalcanti connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'2"
70"+
Reach
67"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
51.2
48.3
Performance Avg
42.0
25
Quality of Victory
37
85
Momentum Score
81
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
13
1
Body
1
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
81
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cavalcanti
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
9.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
CavalcantiNunes
Strike Zones
Cavalcanti
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedNunes
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cavalcanti targets the head (65% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Cavalcanti absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cavalcanti
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Cavalcanti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cavalcanti · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
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Nunes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 2.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 6Decision
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