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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
23%
Borella
77%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
Mara Romero Borella
129
5'6"69" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
TS
Taila Santos
193
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Mara Romero BorellawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Taila Santos · UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
Actual result
Borella wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Santos is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Borella's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BorellaSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Borella
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borella
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
38.9
35.1
Performance Avg
42.2
40
Quality of Victory
32
10
Momentum Score
81
Borella
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.4
34%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
17
2
Body
3
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance25
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Borella
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borella
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Borella
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
81
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Borella
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Borella
Santos
Striking0.6 / 1.1Volume4.6 / 7.1Grappling5.2 / 3.8Wrestling3.6 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure4.4 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Borella
Strike Zones
Santos
Borella
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY7LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY7LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Borella targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (68% of attacks) — Borella absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Borella
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Borella · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.8L4.7W4.8L6.5L1.5L2.1L2017-102019-022020-022020-09
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L5.2W5.7W4.5W5.2W6.9L7.0L2019-022020-122021-112023-08
WinLossTrend

Borella · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney CaseyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Santos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R1
Joanne WoodRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12

News & Media

Mara Romero Borella · Taila Santos
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