UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
23%
Borella
77%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Borella's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borella
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borella
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
38.9
35.1
Performance Avg
42.2
40
Quality of Victory
32
10
Momentum Score
81
Borella
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
34%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
17
2
Body
3
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance25
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Borella
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borella
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Borella
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
81
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Borella
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borella
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BorellaSantos
Strike Zones
Borella
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedSantos
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borella targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (68% of attacks) — Borella absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borella
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Borella · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Borella · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney CaseyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R1
Joanne WoodRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12