METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Rizzo
54%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Pedro RizzowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricco Rodriguez · UFC 45: Revolution
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rizzo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rizzo at 46% vs Rodriguez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Rizzo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RizzoRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
52
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
25.0
53.4
Performance Avg
62.8
46
Quality of Victory
57
91
Momentum Score
91
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
9.1
3.1
Style: Volume
1.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
0
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/78 fights
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
RizzoRodriguez
Strike Zones
Rizzo
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rizzo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rizzo absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rizzo
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Rizzo · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezDecision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanUFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoDecision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeKO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pedro RizzoDecision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Tim SylviaKO/TKO
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
W · KO · R5
Randy CoutureKO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R2
Tsuyoshi KohsakaKO/TKO
UFC 37: High Impact · 2002-05
W · KO · R3
Jeff MonsonKO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01