METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Rizzo
54%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Pedro RizzowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricco Rodriguez · UFC 45: Revolution
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rizzo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rizzo at 46% vs Rodriguez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rizzo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RizzoRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
52
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
25.0
53.4
Performance Avg
62.8
46
Quality of Victory
57
91
Momentum Score
91
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
62%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
0
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/78 fights
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rizzo
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
RizzoRodriguez
Strike Zones
Rizzo
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rizzo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rizzo absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rizzo
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Rizzo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Rizzo · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanRating 4.2UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pedro RizzoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Tim SylviaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
W · KO · R5
Randy CoutureRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R2
Tsuyoshi KohsakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 37: High Impact · 2002-05
W · KO · R3
Jeff MonsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01