UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
57%
Blanchfield
43%
Cortez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blanchfield
This is a genuine toss-up — Blanchfield at 57% vs Cortez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blanchfield has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Blanchfield throws more volume but Cortez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Blanchfield
Cortez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
27+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blanchfield
Cortez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
49.1
58.9
Performance Avg
45.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
75
Blanchfield
Cortez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
1
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Blanchfield
Cortez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blanchfield
Cortez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Blanchfield
Cortez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
75
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Blanchfield
Cortez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blanchfield
Cortez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
BlanchfieldCortez
Strike Zones
Blanchfield
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedCortez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blanchfield targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Cortez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Blanchfield absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blanchfield
RND
Cortez
0/0R00/0
Blanchfield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Cortez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Blanchfield · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Tracy CortezRating 6Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
Cortez · Last 5
Upcoming
Wang CongUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldRating 4.3Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09