UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2016
Welterweight
VS
54%
Silva
46%
Taleb
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:34
ES
Erick Silva
19 – 9
6'0"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 18
NT
Nordine Taleb
15 – 7
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 54% vs Taleb at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Taleb throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Taleb has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Taleb
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Taleb
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
14.8
51.3
Performance Avg
43.9
54
Quality of Victory
34
46
Momentum Score
52
Silva
Taleb
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
57%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Silva
Taleb
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
7.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Taleb
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Silva
Taleb
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Silva
Taleb
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Taleb
Striking3.8 / 4.0Volume0.9 / 6.9Grappling5.7 / 1.7Wrestling4.0 / 1.2Submission7.1 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Silva
Strike Zones
Taleb
Silva
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Taleb
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the body (60% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Taleb targets the head (56% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Taleb
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W3.1L5.0W5.0W6.1L2.8L5.5W2.8L5.5L2011-082013-062014-122016-092017-12
WinLossTrend

Taleb · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W5.3W4.5W3.0L5.2W6.0L4.5W5.0W1.5L3.9L4.5W2.5L2014-042015-082017-052018-102019-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

Taleb · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12

News & Media

Erick Silva · Nordine Taleb
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