UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Heavyweight
VS
66%
Aspinall
34%
Tybura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aspinall
Aspinall holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Tybura has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aspinall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Aspinall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aspinall
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
33+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aspinall
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
83.0
42.5
77.7
Performance Avg
45.2
70
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
58
Aspinall
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.7
1.6
69%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Aspinall
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aspinall
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Aspinall
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Aspinall
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
36%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aspinall
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
9.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
AspinallTybura
Strike Zones
Aspinall
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTybura
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aspinall targets the head (92% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Aspinall absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aspinall
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Aspinall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Aspinall · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08