UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2020
Middleweight
VS
58%
Daukaus
42%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Daukaus
This is a genuine toss-up — Daukaus at 58% vs Stoltzfus at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Stoltzfus throws more volume but Daukaus connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Daukaus's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.7
34.6
49.0
Performance Avg
38.9
48
Quality of Victory
45
33
Momentum Score
10
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
6
5
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance8
10Clinch3
5Ground0
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
10
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Daukaus
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
DaukausStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Daukaus
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Daukaus targets the head (84% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (55% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Daukaus
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Daukaus · Last 5
Upcoming
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Stoltzfus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
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