UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
49%
Neer
51%
Thomas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thomas
This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 49% vs Thomas at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thomas has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Neer
Thomas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Thomas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.2
39.5
Performance Avg
43.1
39
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
100
Neer
Thomas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
1
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
27Ground0
Neer
Thomas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neer
Thomas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Neer
Thomas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Neer
Thomas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neer
Thomas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
NeerThomas
Strike Zones
Neer
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedThomas
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (84% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Thomas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neer
RND
Thomas
0/0R00/0
Neer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Thomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensRating 5.8Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11