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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
49%
Neer
51%
Thomas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
3616
5'11"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
DT
Din Thomas
"Dinyero"
269
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Josh NeerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Din Thomas · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thomas
Actual result
Neer wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 49% vs Thomas at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Thomas has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NeerThomas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Neer
Thomas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Thomas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.2
39.5
Performance Avg
43.1
39
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
100
Neer
Thomas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
1
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
27Ground0
Neer
Thomas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neer
Thomas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Neer
Thomas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Neer
Thomas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neer
Thomas
Striking0.8 / 1.1Volume3.5 / 5.9Grappling4.8 / 4.6Wrestling3.4 / 3.3Submission5.0 / 4.0Pressure4.7 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Neer
Strike Zones
Thomas
Neer
Attacking
27HEAD1BODY4LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Thomas
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD1BODY4LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (84% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Thomas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neer
RND
Thomas
0/0R00/0

Neer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.2W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.7L2005-082006-082009-082012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Thomas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.8W1.5L5.5L2001-062003-022007-052008-04
WinLossTrend

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Thomas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11

News & Media

Josh Neer · Din Thomas
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