UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Lightweight
VS
39%
Bonfim
61%
McKinney
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McKinney
McKinney holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Bonfim has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bonfim's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McKinney has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bonfim
McKinney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Bonfim
McKinney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
65.7
40.0
Performance Avg
59.3
40
Quality of Victory
58
41
Momentum Score
98
Bonfim
McKinney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
5.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
6
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonfim
McKinney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonfim
McKinney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
10
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Bonfim
McKinney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Bonfim
McKinney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
McKinney
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
BonfimMcKinney
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMcKinney
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (65% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯McKinney targets the head (86% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
McKinney
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
McKinney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Bonfim · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris PadillaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · R1
Nazim SadykhovRating 5.5UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
McKinney · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05