METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Cirkunov
59%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:22
★ Official Result
Misha CirkunovwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:22
def. Ion Cutelaba · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cutelaba
→
Actual result
Cirkunov wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cirkunov at 41% vs Cutelaba at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CirkunovCutelaba
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
40.0
50.1
Performance Avg
46.2
53
Quality of Victory
47
59
Momentum Score
26
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
6.0
0.9
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
4.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
CirkunovCutelaba
Strike Zones
Cirkunov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCutelaba
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cirkunov
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
Cirkunov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Cutelaba · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09