UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Cirkunov
59%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:22
MC
Misha Cirkunov
15 – 9
6'3"77" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20 – 11
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cutelaba

This is a genuine toss-up — Cirkunov at 41% vs Cutelaba at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
40.5
50.1
Performance Avg
47.1
53
Quality of Victory
47
59
Momentum Score
26
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cirkunov
Cutelaba
Striking2.6 / 5.4Volume0.9 / 3.6Grappling6.7 / 2.6Wrestling4.7 / 1.8Submission8.3 / 2.2Pressure8.4 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Cirkunov
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Cirkunov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Cutelaba
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cirkunov
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0

Cirkunov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.2W5.8W6.2W2.3L1.9L5.0W2.3L6.5W1.9L5.5L2.8L2.4L2015-082017-052019-092022-10
WinLossTrend

Cutelaba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W6.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L5.9W3.0L3.0L4.5W1.9L2.3L4.0L5.6W6.2L4.5W5.9W6.3L6.0W2016-062019-042022-052024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Cirkunov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

Cutelaba · Last 5

Upcoming
Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Misha Cirkunov · Ion Cutelaba
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