UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Middleweight
VS
50%
Allen
50%
Silva
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:39
Brendan
Brendan Allen
"All In"
26 – 7
6'2"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Bruno
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
23 – 13
Knockout Artist5-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 50% vs Silva at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Allen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Allen's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Allen
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
30+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.8
61.6
56.8
Performance Avg
49.0
43
Quality of Victory
58
88
Momentum Score
91
Allen
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
17
5
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance16
5Clinch4
10Ground0
Allen
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Allen
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Allen
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Silva
Striking3.0 / 10.0Volume4.4 / 0.7Grappling4.9 / 0.0Wrestling3.4 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Allen
Strike Zones
Silva
Allen
Attacking
24HEAD5BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD5BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (80% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (85% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8W5.0W5.1W3.9L5.0W5.5W3.5L5.2W5.5W5.0W6.4W6.3W6.0W5.2W6.9L6.9L5.3W6.4W2019-102021-072023-022025-022025-10
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5W5.0W7.6L5.1L5.0W2.8L7.0L6.3L6.0L1.5L2021-062022-032023-062024-102025-05
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming
Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Brendan Allen · Bruno Silva
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