UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Flyweight
VS
50%
Elliott
50%
Altamirano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elliott
This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 50% vs Altamirano at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Altamirano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elliott
Altamirano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Elliott
Altamirano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
36.4
37.9
Performance Avg
38.8
33
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
20
Elliott
Altamirano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
2Clinch3
7Ground0
Elliott
Altamirano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Altamirano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Elliott
Altamirano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Elliott
Altamirano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Altamirano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
ElliottAltamirano
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedAltamirano
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (71% of attacks) — Altamirano absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Altamirano targets the head (60% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Altamirano
0/0R00/0
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Altamirano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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W · Sub · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
Altamirano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius SalvadorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · KO · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5KO/TKO
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