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UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Flyweight
VS
50%
Elliott
50%
Altamirano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Elliott
2214
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Victor
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
125
Well-Rounded3-fight slide35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 36
★ Official Result
Tim ElliottwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Victor Altamirano · UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
Actual result
Elliott wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 50% vs Altamirano at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Altamirano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ElliottAltamirano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Elliott
Altamirano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Elliott
Altamirano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
36.4
37.9
Performance Avg
38.8
33
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
20
Elliott
Altamirano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
2Clinch3
7Ground0
Elliott
Altamirano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Altamirano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Elliott
Altamirano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Elliott
Altamirano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Altamirano
Striking0.9 / 5.7Volume6.5 / 4.7Grappling4.1 / 1.2Wrestling2.9 / 0.8Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Elliott
Strike Zones
Altamirano
Elliott
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Altamirano
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (71% of attacks) — Altamirano absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Altamirano targets the head (60% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Altamirano
0/0R00/0

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W2.6L5.5L3.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L5.6W4.6W5.4L5.6W5.2W6.1L2012-052016-122020-052023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Altamirano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5L5.5L2022-022022-082023-032023-062024-022024-09
WinLossTrend

Elliott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Altamirano · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius SalvadorRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · KO · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

Tim Elliott · Victor Altamirano
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