METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Busan, South Korea
21 Dec 2019
Lightweight
VS
38%
Ma
62%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Omar MoraleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dong Hyun Ma · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morales
→
Actual result
Morales wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Morales holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Ma has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ma has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Ma's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ma
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ma
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
25.6
37.0
Performance Avg
32.1
37
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
45
Ma
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.3
6.1
Style: Volume
8.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
13
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Ma
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ma
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Ma
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ma
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ma
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
MaMorales
Strike Zones
Ma
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedMorales
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ma targets the head (67% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (93% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ma
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ma · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesDecision
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L · R2
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Devonte SmithKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownDecision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiKO/TKO
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Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan PearceSubmission
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Shane YoungDecision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeDecision
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