UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Busan, South Korea
21 Dec 2019
Lightweight
VS
38%
Ma
62%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Morales
Morales holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Ma has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ma has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Morales has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ma's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ma
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ma
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
25.6
37.0
Performance Avg
32.1
37
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
45
Ma
Morales
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
13
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Ma
Morales
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ma
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Ma
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ma
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ma
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
MaMorales
Strike Zones
Ma
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedMorales
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ma targets the head (67% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (93% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ma
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ma · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ma · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Uros MedicRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2Submission
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 4.5Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10