UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Middleweight
VS
46%
Okami
54%
Souza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Souza
This is a genuine toss-up — Okami at 46% vs Souza at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Okami's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Souza has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Okami
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
72"
44+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Okami
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
19.5
46.5
Performance Avg
54.6
33
Quality of Victory
53
78
Momentum Score
56
Okami
Souza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
25
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch11
0Ground10
Okami
Souza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Okami
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Okami
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
56
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Okami
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
89%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Okami
Souza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
OkamiSouza
Strike Zones
Okami
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedSouza
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Okami targets the head (100% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (89% of attacks) — Okami absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Okami
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Okami · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Okami · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Dhiego LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11