UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Lightweight
VS
60%
Benitez
40%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Benitez
Benitez holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Morales has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Benitez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Benitez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Benitez's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Benitez
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benitez
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
25.6
46.5
Performance Avg
32.1
46
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
45
Benitez
Morales
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
20
11
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance29
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Benitez
Morales
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benitez
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Benitez
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Benitez
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benitez
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
BenitezMorales
Strike Zones
Benitez
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedMorales
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benitez targets the body (50% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (65% of attacks) — Benitez absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benitez
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
Benitez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Benitez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 5.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8Decision
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