UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Johns
64%
Gravely
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:53
BJ
Brett Johns
"The Pikey"
17 – 2
5'7"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TG
Tony Gravely
23 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'5"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gravely

Gravely holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Gravely throws more volume but Johns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gravely has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johns
Gravely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
71"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Gravely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
33.2
49.5
Performance Avg
44.8
35
Quality of Victory
41
65
Momentum Score
35
Johns
Gravely
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Johns
Gravely
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Gravely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Johns
Gravely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Johns
Gravely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johns
Gravely
Striking1.4 / 6.0Volume6.2 / 5.0Grappling4.6 / 1.2Wrestling3.3 / 0.8Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Johns
Strike Zones
Gravely
Johns
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Gravely
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gravely targets the body (100% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johns
RND
Gravely
0/0R00/0

Johns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W4.5W5.0W6.5L6.0L5.5W5.4W2016-112017-122018-082020-07
WinLossTrend

Gravely · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.0L4.5W5.2W3.9L4.5W5.0W5.9L6.4L2020-012021-042022-012022-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Johns · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
W · Sub · R3
Tony GravelyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12

Gravely · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Johnny MunozRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Saimon OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · KO · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Brett Johns · Tony Gravely
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