UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
5%
Manley
95%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jon Manley
9 – 4
6'1"Orthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

Magny is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Magny has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Manley
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
80"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Manley
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
47.5
0.0
Performance Avg
47.4
0
Quality of Victory
36
0
Momentum Score
75
Manley
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.5
17%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
18
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance14
1Clinch3
0Ground5
Manley
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Manley
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/13 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Manley
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
75
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Manley
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
42%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Manley
Magny
Striking0.0 / 4.2Volume0.0 / 6.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure0.0 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Manley
Strike Zones
Magny
Manley
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Manley targets the head (86% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (82% of attacks) — Manley absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Manley
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Manley · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Jon Manley · Neil Magny
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