METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
5%
Manley
95%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Neil MagnywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jon Manley · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Magny wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Magny is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magny has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ManleyMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Manley
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
80"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Manley
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
49.4
0.0
Performance Avg
48.3
0
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
81
Manley
Magny
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
0.0
Style: Volume
5.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
18
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance14
1Clinch3
0Ground5
Manley
Magny
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Manley
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/13 fights
Chin rating based on
38/46 fights
Manley
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
81
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Manley
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Manley
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
ManleyMagny
Strike Zones
Manley
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedMagny
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Manley targets the head (86% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (82% of attacks) — Manley absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Manley
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Manley · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
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