UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Blackshear
46%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blackshear
This is a genuine toss-up — Blackshear at 54% vs Johnson at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Blackshear throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Blackshear
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
71"
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Blackshear
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
46.4
50.7
Performance Avg
37.0
48
Quality of Victory
45
56
Momentum Score
43
Blackshear
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
68%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
2
Body
2
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance7
6Clinch0
7Ground1
Blackshear
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blackshear
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Blackshear
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Blackshear
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blackshear
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
BlackshearJohnson
Strike Zones
Blackshear
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blackshear targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blackshear
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Blackshear · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Blackshear · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3Decision
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Johnson · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Felipe BunesRating 2.1Submission
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UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

