METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Atlantic City, USA
30 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
52%
Algeo
48%
Nelson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:00
★ Official Result
Kyle NelsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:00
def. Bill Algeo · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Algeo
→
Actual result
Nelson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Algeo at 52% vs Nelson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Algeo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nelson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlgeoNelson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Algeo
Nelson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
71"
37
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Switch
Algeo
Nelson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
36.8
41.5
Performance Avg
41.6
36
Quality of Victory
39
51
Momentum Score
36
Algeo
Nelson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
4.2
5.8
Style: Volume
5.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
11
Body
6
8
Leg
6
RangeRange
30Distance28
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Algeo
Nelson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Algeo
Nelson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/24 fights
Algeo
Nelson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Algeo
Nelson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Algeo
Nelson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
AlgeoNelson
Strike Zones
Algeo
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedNelson
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Algeo targets the head (37% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 37% of strikes there
🎯Nelson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Algeo absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Algeo
RND
Nelson
0/0R00/0
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
Nelson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Matt FrevolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Bill AlgeoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Fernando PadillaDecision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09