UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Nottingham, United Kingdom
29 Sept 2012
Welterweight
VS
52%
Hathaway
48%
Maguire
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hathaway
This is a genuine toss-up — Hathaway at 52% vs Maguire at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Hathaway throws more volume but Maguire connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Hathaway
Maguire
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hathaway
Maguire
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
16.0
49.1
Performance Avg
38.3
30
Quality of Victory
37
60
Momentum Score
50
Hathaway
Maguire
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Hathaway
Maguire
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hathaway
Maguire
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/33 fights
Hathaway
Maguire
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
50
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Hathaway
Maguire
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hathaway
Maguire
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
HathawayMaguire
Strike Zones
Hathaway
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMaguire
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hathaway targets the head (73% of attacks) — Maguire absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Maguire targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hathaway absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hathaway
RND
Maguire
0/0R00/0
Hathaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Maguire · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hathaway · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Pascal KraussRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Kris McCrayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Maguire · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11