METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Lightweight
VS
68%
Trinaldo
32%
Rio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:08
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsSubmissionR1 · 3:08
def. Mike Rio · UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Rio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rio has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoRio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Rio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Rio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
15.2
48.6
Performance Avg
37.0
35
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
36
Trinaldo
Rio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Rio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Rio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Trinaldo
Rio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Trinaldo
Rio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Rio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
TrinaldoRio
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRio
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rio absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rio targets the body (80% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Rio
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Rio · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Daron CruickshankRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2Submission
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · Sub · R1
Francisco TrinaldoRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
W · Sub · R3
John CoferRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12