UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Middleweight
VS
32%
Pitolo
68%
Marquez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:17
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
Submission Hunter4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'2"
CFR 46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marquez
Marquez holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Pitolo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pitolo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquez has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pitolo
Marquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
75"+
Reach
72"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pitolo
Marquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
45.8
39.7
Performance Avg
43.8
55
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
46
Pitolo
Marquez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
3.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
48%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
22
5
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance13
0Clinch12
0Ground1
Pitolo
Marquez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pitolo
Marquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
10
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Pitolo
Marquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Pitolo
Marquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pitolo
Marquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
PitoloMarquez
Strike Zones
Pitolo
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMarquez
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pitolo targets the body (45% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Marquez targets the head (85% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pitolo
RND
Marquez
0/0R00/0
Pitolo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Marquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezRating 4.5Submission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveyRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04