METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Middleweight
VS
34%
Pitolo
66%
Marquez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:17
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
Submission Hunter4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'2"
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Julian MarquezwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:17
def. Maki Pitolo · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marquez
→
Actual result
Marquez wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Marquez holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Pitolo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pitolo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquez has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PitoloMarquez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pitolo
Marquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
75"+
Reach
72"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pitolo
Marquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
41.2
39.7
Performance Avg
43.8
55
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
46
Pitolo
Marquez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
8.1
0.3
Style: Volume
0.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
22
5
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance13
0Clinch12
0Ground1
Pitolo
Marquez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pitolo
Marquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
10
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Pitolo
Marquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Pitolo
Marquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pitolo
Marquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
PitoloMarquez
Strike Zones
Pitolo
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMarquez
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pitolo targets the body (45% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Marquez targets the head (85% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pitolo
RND
Marquez
0/0R00/0
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdKO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04