UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Heavyweight
VS
95%
Harris
5%
East
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
Harris is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Striking split: East throws more volume but Harris connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Harris's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
East has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Harris
East
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
East
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.6
1.6
51.0
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Harris
East
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
16
4
Body
3
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
13Distance22
4Clinch4
14Ground0
Harris
East
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Harris
East
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Harris
East
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Harris
East
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
East
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HarrisEast
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedEast
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (81% of attacks) — East absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯East targets the head (62% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
East
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
East · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.6WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
East · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Walt HarrisRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04