UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Welterweight
VS
56%
Hathaway
44%
Krauss
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hathaway
This is a genuine toss-up — Hathaway at 56% vs Krauss at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Krauss has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Hathaway
Krauss
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hathaway
Krauss
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
13.6
49.1
Performance Avg
35.0
30
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
56
Hathaway
Krauss
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
5
4
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
24Distance10
3Clinch1
5Ground0
Hathaway
Krauss
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hathaway
Krauss
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Hathaway
Krauss
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
56
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hathaway
Krauss
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hathaway
Krauss
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
HathawayKrauss
Strike Zones
Hathaway
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedKrauss
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hathaway targets the head (81% of attacks) — Krauss absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Krauss targets the head (45% of attacks) — Hathaway absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hathaway
RND
Krauss
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hathaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Krauss · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Hathaway · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Pascal KraussRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Kris McCrayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Krauss · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Hyun Gyu LimRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Mike StumpfRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Mark ScanlonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11