UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Sydney, Australia
7 Nov 2014
Middleweight
VS
47%
Andrews
53%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:16
Dylan
Dylan Andrews
"The Villain"
18 – 7
6'1"74" reachSwitch46 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 20
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
Well-Rounded8-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alvey

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrews at 47% vs Alvey at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Andrews has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrews's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Andrews
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+40
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Andrews
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
22.9
49.0
Performance Avg
44.3
55
Quality of Victory
45
65
Momentum Score
43
Andrews
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Andrews
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrews
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Andrews
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Andrews
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrews
Alvey
Striking10.0 / 5.9Volume0.8 / 4.1Grappling0.0 / 1.8Wrestling0.0 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure8.2 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Andrews
Strike Zones
Alvey
Andrews
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Alvey
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrews targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Andrews absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrews
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0

Andrews · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W5.5W4.8L1.5L2.8L2013-042013-082013-122014-112015-05
WinLossTrend

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Andrews · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Brad ScottRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Sam AlveyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · R2
Clint HesterRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R3
Papy AbediRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Jimmy QuinlanRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

News & Media

Dylan Andrews · Sam Alvey
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