UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
Las Vegas, USA
30 Apr 2022
Lightweight
VS
51%
Levy
49%
Breeden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Natan
Natan Levy
"Lethal"
8 – 2
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 34
MB
Mike Breeden
"Money"
11 – 6
Knockout Artist37 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Levy

This is a genuine toss-up — Levy at 51% vs Breeden at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Breeden has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Breeden throws more volume but Levy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Breeden has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Levy
Breeden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Levy
Breeden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.8
32.0
35.0
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
50
44
Momentum Score
22
Levy
Breeden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
3.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
38
4
Body
23
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
45Distance52
1Clinch8
0Ground2
Levy
Breeden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Levy
Breeden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Levy
Breeden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
44
22
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Levy
Breeden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Levy
Breeden
Striking1.0 / 10.0Volume9.0 / 0.5Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Levy
Strike Zones
Breeden
Levy
Attacking
41HEAD4BODY1LEGS46 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD23BODY1LEGS62 absorbed
Breeden
Attacking
38HEAD23BODY1LEGS62 landed
Absorbing
41HEAD4BODY1LEGS46 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Levy targets the head (89% of attacks) — Breeden absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Breeden targets the head (61% of attacks) — Levy absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Levy
RND
Breeden
0/0R00/0

Levy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.3L4.5W4.5W3.9L2021-112022-042022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Breeden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.4L5.5L3.0L7.4W2021-102022-042023-082023-10
WinLossTrend

Levy · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Mike DavisRating 3.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike BreedenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11

Breeden · Last 4

W · KO · R3
Anshul JubliRating 7.4
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Natan LevyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10

News & Media

Natan Levy · Mike Breeden
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