Rafael Dos Anjos vs Tony Ferguson — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Mexico City, Mexico

5 Nov 2016

Lightweight

49%

Anjos

51%

Ferguson

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Rafael Dos Anjos

32 – 17

5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 43

Tony Ferguson

"El Cucuy"

26 – 11

Well-Rounded8-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'11"

CFR 45

★ Official Result

Tony FergusonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Ferguson

→

Actual result

Ferguson wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 49% vs Ferguson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferguson has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AnjosFerguson

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Anjos

Ferguson

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'11"

70"

Reach

+76"

41+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Anjos

Ferguson

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.1

45.2

47.7

Performance Avg

54.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Anjos

Ferguson

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

6.1

5.7

Style: Volume

3.4

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

26Distance43

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Anjos

Ferguson

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

3.8

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.7

2.4

Submission Style (/10)

4.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Anjos

Ferguson

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R3.5 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/49 fights

Chin rating based on

24/37 fights

Anjos

Ferguson

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

8-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

L · Sub · R4

L · KO · R2

Anjos

Ferguson

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

43%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos

Ferguson

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.8

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.7

2.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.0

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.1

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.4

Anjos

Strike Zones

Ferguson

Anjos

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

43 absorbed

Ferguson

Attacking

43 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Anjos targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ferguson absorbs 73% of strikes there

🎯Ferguson targets the head (79% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos

RND

Ferguson

0/0R00/0

Anjos · Last 5

Upcoming

Alexander Hernandez

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Mateusz Gamrot

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

L · Dec · R5

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

W · Sub · R2

Bryan Barberena

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

Ferguson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Michael Chiesa

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Paddy Pimblett

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

L · Sub · R3

King Green

Submission

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

L · Sub · R4

Nate Diaz

Submission

UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

L · KO · R2

Michael Chandler

KO/TKO

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Tony Ferguson

← Back to fights