METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Welterweight
VS
33%
Maia
67%
Brown
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:31
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR3 · 4:31
def. Matt Brown · UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Maia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
42.5
50.8
Performance Avg
54.0
40
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
78
Maia
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.9
5.0
Style: Volume
2.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
13 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground4
Maia
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
11
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Maia
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Maia
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
13
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
MaiaBrown
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBrown
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
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L · KO · R2
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