METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Brazil 1 Middleweight Tournament
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
23 Jun 2012
Ultimate Fighter Brazil 1 Middleweight Tournament
VS
47%
Ferreira
53%
Moraes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
138
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
SM
Sergio Moraes
"The Panther"
146
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Cezar FerreirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sergio Moraes · UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraes
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 47% vs Moraes at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraes has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraMoraes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ferreira
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
72"
41+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
19.0
49.5
Performance Avg
47.0
43
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
95
Ferreira
Moraes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ferreira
Moraes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Ferreira
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Moraes
Striking1.2 / 2.5Volume6.5 / 5.2Grappling4.3 / 4.2Wrestling3.0 / 2.9Submission3.3 / 3.8Pressure4.1 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Moraes
Ferreira
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Moraes
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (63% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L4.6W5.2W5.5L4.2L4.0L2012-062015-122018-022019-11
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Sergio Moraes
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