UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
37%
Gustafsson
63%
Teixeira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 1:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Gustafsson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Gustafsson throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gustafsson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Teixeira has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
76"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
42.8
50.3
Performance Avg
58.4
47
Quality of Victory
51
39
Momentum Score
59
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gustafsson
Teixeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
GustafssonTeixeira
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTeixeira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Teixeira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gustafsson
RND
Teixeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gustafsson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05