UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Santos
57%
Teixeira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 43% vs Teixeira at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Teixeira has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
42.8
54.0
Performance Avg
58.4
51
Quality of Victory
51
91
Momentum Score
59
Santos
Teixeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
52%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
11 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
21Ground4
Santos
Teixeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Santos
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Santos
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
75%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Teixeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SantosTeixeira
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTeixeira
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Teixeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05