UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Catch Weight
VS
43%
Ducote
57%
Godinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Emily
Emily Ducote
"Gordinha"
13 – 9
5'2"63" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Loopy
Loopy Godinez
14 – 6
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox61" reach5'2"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Godinez

This is a genuine toss-up — Ducote at 43% vs Godinez at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ducote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ducote
Godinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
5'2"
63"+
Reach
61"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ducote
Godinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.4
44.2
31.0
Performance Avg
42.7
25
Quality of Victory
31
50
Momentum Score
49
Ducote
Godinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.8
57%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
31
6
Body
4
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
34Distance39
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Ducote
Godinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ducote
Godinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Ducote
Godinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
49
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ducote
Godinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ducote
Godinez
Striking0.8 / 1.2Volume8.8 / 7.4Grappling2.4 / 3.6Wrestling1.7 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure1.2 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Ducote
Strike Zones
Godinez
Ducote
Attacking
24HEAD6BODY5LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD4BODY5LEGS40 absorbed
Godinez
Attacking
31HEAD4BODY5LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD6BODY5LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ducote targets the head (69% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Godinez targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ducote absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ducote
RND
Godinez
0/0R00/0

Ducote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.6W5.6L6.0L4.5W5.7L2022-072022-122023-052023-102024-05
WinLossTrend

Godinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6L5.0W6.1L5.4W5.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.2L6.7L5.1W5.3W4.6L2021-042022-052023-092025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Ducote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

Godinez · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Emily Ducote · Loopy Godinez
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