UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Middleweight
VS
39%
Todorovic
61%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodrigues
Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Todorovic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Todorovic's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
66.6
49.6
Performance Avg
59.3
56
Quality of Victory
48
13
Momentum Score
100
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.4
2.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
19
4
Body
9
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance25
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
TodorovicRodrigues
Strike Zones
Todorovic
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Todorovic targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (68% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Todorovic
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Todorovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Todorovic · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5Submission
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L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
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Rodrigues · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
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