METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Middleweight
VS
37%
Todorovic
63%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gregory RodrigueswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dusko Todorovic · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodrigues
→
Actual result
Rodrigues wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Todorovic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Todorovic's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TodorovicRodrigues
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
65.6
48.1
Performance Avg
58.7
56
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
100
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
6.8
0.7
Style: Volume
4.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
19
4
Body
9
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance25
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
64%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Todorovic
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
TodorovicRodrigues
Strike Zones
Todorovic
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Todorovic targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (68% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Todorovic
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Todorovic · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Anthony HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02