METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
52%
Hermansson
48%
Curtis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack HermanssonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Curtis · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hermansson
→
Actual result
Hermansson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 52% vs Curtis at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HermanssonCurtis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hermansson
Curtis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hermansson
Curtis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
49.5
48.1
Performance Avg
46.3
42
Quality of Victory
41
97
Momentum Score
54
Hermansson
Curtis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.1
4.8
Style: Volume
5.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
12
Body
10
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
34Distance18
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Hermansson
Curtis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Curtis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
12/45 fights
Hermansson
Curtis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
54
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Hermansson
Curtis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hermansson
Curtis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
HermanssonCurtis
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedCurtis
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (44% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Curtis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hermansson
RND
Curtis
0/0R00/0
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Curtis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01