UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Mexico City, Mexico
15 Nov 2014
Welterweight
VS
91%
Montano
9%
Heatherly
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:50
AM
Augusto Montano
"Dodger"
15 – 3
6'1"73" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 19
CH
Chris Heatherly
"Stump"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Montano

Montano is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Montano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Heatherly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Heatherly has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Montano
Heatherly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Montano
Heatherly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
1.8
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Montano
Heatherly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
48%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
7
8
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance6
22Clinch2
4Ground0
Montano
Heatherly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Montano
Heatherly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Montano
Heatherly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Montano
Heatherly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Montano
Heatherly
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Montano
Strike Zones
Heatherly
Montano
Attacking
20HEAD8BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Heatherly
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD8BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the head (67% of attacks) — Heatherly absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Heatherly targets the head (88% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Montano
RND
Heatherly
0/0R00/0

Montano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5L5.1L2014-112015-062016-09
WinLossTrend

Heatherly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2014-082014-11
WinLossTrend

Montano · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Chris HeatherlyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

Heatherly · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Augusto MontanoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
L · Sub · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08

News & Media

Augusto Montano · Chris Heatherly
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