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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night 2
Las Vegas, USA
3 Oct 2005
Welterweight
VS
52%
Fisher
48%
Alves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 Β· 4:43
SF
Spencer Fisher
"The King"
24 – 9
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw50 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 17
β˜… Official Result
Spencer FisherwinsSubmissionR2 Β· 4:43
def. Thiago Alves Β· UFC Fight Night 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fisher
β†’
Actual result
Fisher wins
Submission Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Fisher at 52% vs Alves at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alves has a chin rating of 6 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FisherAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Fisher
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
50
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.5
43.8
Performance Avg
47.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
89
Momentum Score
63
Fisher
Alves
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.4
4.6
Style: Volume
4.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch6
0Ground5
Fisher
Alves
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fisher
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Fisher
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
89
63
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
Fisher
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fisher
Alves
Striking3.3 / 5.8Volume4.6 / 4.3Grappling2.8 / 1.5Wrestling2.0 / 1.0Submission2.2 / 0.7Pressure4.7 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Fisher
Strike Zones
Alves
Fisher
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Alves
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the head (71% of attacks) β€” Alves absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (54% of attacks) β€” Fisher absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Fisher
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0

Fisher Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sam Stout
Decision
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L Β· KO Β· R2
Thiago Tavares
KO/TKO
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L Β· Dec Β· R3
Ross Pearson
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch Β· 2011-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Curt Warburton
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama Β· 2010-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Dennis Siver
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale Β· 2010-06

Alves Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Tim Means
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Β· 2019-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Laureano Staropoli
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Β· 2019-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Aleksei Kunchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik Β· 2018-09
L Β· KO Β· R2
Curtis Millender
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros Β· 2018-02

News & Media

Spencer Fisher Β· Thiago Alves
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