METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 2
Las Vegas, USA
3 Oct 2005
Welterweight
VS
52%
Fisher
48%
Alves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:43
★ Official Result
Spencer FisherwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:43
def. Thiago Alves · UFC Fight Night 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fisher
→
Actual result
Fisher wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fisher at 52% vs Alves at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FisherAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fisher
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
50
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.5
43.8
Performance Avg
47.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
89
Momentum Score
63
Fisher
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch6
0Ground5
Fisher
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fisher
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Fisher
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Fisher
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fisher
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
FisherAlves
Strike Zones
Fisher
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedAlves
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the head (71% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (54% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fisher
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
Fisher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Fisher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02