UFC Fight Night 2
Las Vegas, USA
3 Oct 2005
Welterweight
VS
52%
Fisher
48%
Alves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:43
SF
Spencer Fisher
"The King"
24 – 9
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw50 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fisher

This is a genuine toss-up — Fisher at 52% vs Alves at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Fisher
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
50
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.5
43.8
Performance Avg
47.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
89
Momentum Score
63
Fisher
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch6
0Ground5
Fisher
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fisher
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Fisher
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Fisher
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fisher
Alves
Striking3.3 / 5.8Volume4.6 / 4.3Grappling2.8 / 1.5Wrestling2.0 / 1.0Submission2.2 / 0.7Pressure4.7 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Fisher
Strike Zones
Alves
Fisher
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Alves
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the head (71% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (54% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fisher
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0

Fisher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2005-102007-012009-062011-082012-06
WinLossTrend

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

Fisher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

News & Media

Spencer Fisher · Thiago Alves
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