UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Houston, USA
8 Oct 2011
Heavyweight
VS
21%
Beltran
79%
Miocic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miocic
Miocic is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miocic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Miocic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Beltran's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Beltran
Miocic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+80"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Miocic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
56.3
39.3
Performance Avg
64.9
43
Quality of Victory
59
33
Momentum Score
78
Beltran
Miocic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
34%
Strike Accuracy
53%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
2
Body
4
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance11
0Clinch3
0Ground5
Beltran
Miocic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beltran
Miocic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Beltran
Miocic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
78
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Beltran
Miocic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
64%
2
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beltran
Miocic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
BeltranMiocic
Strike Zones
Beltran
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMiocic
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (71% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Miocic targets the head (53% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beltran
RND
Miocic
0/0R00/0
Beltran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor PokrajacUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07