UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
26%
Mein
74%
Muhammad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
31 – 12
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

Muhammad is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Muhammad throws more volume but Mein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Mein's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mein
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mein
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
56.8
45.6
Performance Avg
48.5
39
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
100
Mein
Muhammad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch6
0Ground3
Mein
Muhammad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mein
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/43 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Mein
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Mein
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mein
Muhammad
Striking5.1 / 2.8Volume5.9 / 7.9Grappling1.4 / 2.5Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure4.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Mein
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Mein
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Muhammad
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mein targets the body (100% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (70% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mein
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0

Mein · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W3.1L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.5L6.6L4.5W4.5W2013-032014-082017-072018-07
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Mein · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Jordan Mein · Belal Muhammad
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