UFC 50: The War Of '04
Atlantic City, USA
22 Oct 2004
Middleweight
VS
35%
Tanner
65%
Lawler
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawler
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Tanner has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tanner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tanner
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
55
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tanner
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
40.7
57.1
Performance Avg
51.0
52
Quality of Victory
45
93
Momentum Score
90
Tanner
Lawler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Tanner
Lawler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tanner
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
Tanner
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Tanner
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tanner
Lawler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
TannerLawler
Strike Zones
Tanner
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLawler
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tanner
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0
Tanner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tanner · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08