UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
50%
Johnson
50%
Diakiese
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 50% vs Diakiese at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Diakiese connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diakiese has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Diakiese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Diakiese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
37.3
42.5
Performance Avg
41.2
38
Quality of Victory
33
35
Momentum Score
88
Johnson
Diakiese
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
10
19
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
38Distance19
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Johnson
Diakiese
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Diakiese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Johnson
Diakiese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
88
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Diakiese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Diakiese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
JohnsonDiakiese
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDiakiese
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the body (46% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Diakiese targets the head (48% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Diakiese
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
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Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5Decision
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